Palm Spring Area Housing Market Getting Stronger
Underwater homeowners who’ve been stuck between entering a short sale and waiting for an upturn in the housing market may finally have an opportunity to break even or profit over the next year in the Coachella Valley, housing experts say.
The California housing market will coast through a steady recovery into the next year, buoyed by rising median home prices and a drop in distressed property sales, according to a 2014 market forecast released Tuesday from the California Association of Realtors.
“The share of equity sales has increased sharply,” Leslie Appleton-Young, chief economist for the association, said during a conference call for reporters. “That illustrates what a housing recovery looks like.”
In 2009, 60 percent of home sales in California were bank repossessions, but they now total 5 percent of all sales, Appleton-Young said. Foreclosed homes have shuttled through the pipeline, easing the market from heavily distressed property sales to a robust spike in equity sales.
The forecast projects 444,000 homes sold next year across the state, a 3.2 percent gain from the 430,300 sales estimate for this year. The California median home price is expected to reach $408,600 this year, up 28 percent from 2012. The price is expected to inch up to $432,800 in 2014, according to the forecast.
The Coachella Valley has mirrored the state’s upward trend. In August, the median home price rose 25 percent from the year before to $250,000, according to DataQuick, a San Diego-based firm tracking real estate data.
The spike in prices may persuade more underwater homeowners to put their home on the market, housing experts said. More listings trickling in will help expand the current three-month inventory shortage. A normal supply is six to seven months, Appleton-Young said.
“Property owners who were underwater on their housing may now be above water because their home has appreciated over the last couple of years, so that represents a supply of inventory coming onto the market,” Appleton-Young said. “When rates change, it causes people to get off the fence.”
The decline of distressed property sales indicates that more people are buying homes through conventional transactions, housing experts said. Cumulatively over the past six months in the Coachella Valley, 83 percent of home sales were equity purchases, with 9 percent short sales and 8 percent bank repossessions, according to data from the California Desert Association of Realtors.
Coachella Valley underwater homeowners who owe more on their mortgage than the value of their house may take longer to regain equity than the rest of the state because the region tumbled into a deeper housing bust, said Daren Blomquist, vice president ofRealtyTrac, an Irvine-based real estate data firm.
The regional market lags behind the state because it’s largely based on second home purchases. About 29 percent of homes in Riverside County are underwater, higher than the 23 percent figure for the state overall.
“Homeowners (in the Coachella Valley) have a deeper hole to dig out of when being underwater,” Blomquist said.
Small opportunities, however, still exist for underwater homeowners. Rising home prices will create a stable market for people wanting to sell their homes, said Jenell Fontes, a luxury real estate agent and short sale specialist based in Rancho Mirage.
“Some of them list pretty high, as they’re coming out on the market,” Fontes said. “Some are just waiting it out. Now, they’re only up to their neck underwater, and they’re just treading.”
Business reporter Dominique Fong can be reached at (760) 778-4661, dominique.fong@thedesertsun.com and on Twitter @dominiquefong.